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Polling Shows Wright Leading Ellzey in July Congressional Runoff

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North Texas temperatures are heating up this summer, but the competition for an open seat in Congress may be cooling down as polling shows one candidate in the July runoff has a 15-point lead.

Republicans Susan Wright and State Rep. Jake Ellzey (Waxahachie) are competing in a special election runoff for the congressional seat left by Wright’s late husband, U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, who passed away in February just weeks into his second term.

Internal polling from Wright’s campaign released earlier this month shows Wright leading Ellzey 49-34 percent, with 11 percent of the likely voters surveyed still undecided.

The winner of the July 27 runoff will represent Texas’ 6th Congressional District—which includes parts of Fort Worth and Arlington in Tarrant County, as well as all of Ellis and Navarro counties—for the remainder of Ron Wright’s unexpired term.

Susan Wright is a longtime Republican activist in Tarrant County. Ellzey is a first-term state representative from Ellis County who finished second to Ron Wright in the 2018 GOP primary for the CD 6 seat.

Republican voters favor Wright 66-27 percent.

Democrats prefer Ellzey 49-18 percent. But Democrats make up a smaller portion of voters in the district and, according to the poll, are much less enthusiastic about voting in a runoff between two Republicans.

Turnout is likely to be low in the mid-summer special runoff.

In the May 1 special election—a jungle primary among 23 candidates from both parties, held on the same day as local elections—voter turnout was 16 percent (78,417 voters).

Wright and Ellzey were the top two finishers in that special election. Wright finished first with 19 percent of the vote, while Ellzey received almost 14 percent, narrowly edging out Democrat Jana Lynn Sanchez by about 350 votes.

Both are continuing to run as conservative Republicans.

Wright racked up the

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